Opto Sessions – Invest in the Next Big Idea

Callum Thomas – Topdown Charts, Recession Indicators, & the ‘September Effect’

September 22, 2022 Haydn Brain & Ed Gotham Season 1 Episode 134
Opto Sessions – Invest in the Next Big Idea
Callum Thomas – Topdown Charts, Recession Indicators, & the ‘September Effect’
Show Notes

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Callum Thomas is the founder of Topdown Charts, a research firm servicing institutional fund managers entrusted in overseeing trillions of dollars for their end clients.

Having started out at the New Zealand stock exchange, Callum secured Economic and Strategy analyst roles at AXA global investors, before being promoted to Investment strategist at AMP Capital, after they’d bought AXA’s multi-asset business in 2010. His weekly chart analysis received rave reviews from colleagues, and after a pivotal trip to Bali, Callum took the plunge and founded Topdown charts in 2016.

We discuss the centrality of charts within Callum’s research process, analyzing his 3-tier framework. With September well-known for its poor equity returns, we discuss Seasonality, as Callum unpicks the ‘September effect’. Callum finishes by explaining his recession outlook, using global PMI data in conjunction with an intriguing correlation between industrial metals and energy prices. Enjoy!

Thanks to Cofruition for consulting on and producing the podcast. Want further Opto insights? Check out our daily newsletter: https://www.cmcmarkets.com/en-gb/opto/newsletter
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